Showing posts with label Pennsylvania. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pennsylvania. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Breaking News for Hillary Is all Good

Photo credits: aolcdn.com

Superdelegate Bill George, Pennsylvania AFL-CIO president, has announced his support for Sen. Clinton. With George's support, Clinton extends her lead over fellow Democratic presidential hopeful Barack Obama to 16-5 among Pennsylvania superdelegates.

And in North Carolina, on the heels of Gov. Easley’s formal endorsement this week, the Clinton Campaign has upped the odds for Hillary with a very moving one-minute ad featuring Maya Angelou. Watch the ad at Talking Points Memo.

Recent polls show Hillary closing the gap in North Carolina, and Eric Kleefeld at TPM points out: “if she can win Indiana and deprive Obama of a North Carolina landslide, that would go a very long way in making her case to super-delegates that Obama is really a weak candidate.”



Friday, April 25, 2008

Media Recovering from Obama Intoxication, except for MSNBC’s Olbermann

Photo credits: AP

Scanning the online media this morning has been a dizzying exercise. I’ve gone from suggestions that the press has finally overcome its intoxication with Obama to at last recognize Hillary Clinton as the more substantive candidate to Keith Olbermann’s on-the-air, blatantly misogynist comment that someone should physically beat Clinton up to force her out of the Democratic race.

To prepare myself for the usual assault on Hillary Clinton that I’ve learned to expect from the media, I began at the NY Times with Paul Krugman’s predictably Clinton-friendly comments under the heading, “Self-Inflicted Confusion.”

Krugman begins:

“After Barack Obama’s defeat in Pennsylvania, David Axelrod, his campaign manager, brushed it off: “Nothing has changed tonight in the basic physics of this race.”

“He may well be right — but what a comedown. A few months ago the Obama campaign was talking about transcendence. Now it’s talking about math. ‘Yes we can has become ‘No she can’t.”’

Krugman explains Obama’s inability to win over the working class and sweep easily toward the nomination this way:

“From the beginning, I wondered what Mr. Obama’s soaring rhetoric, his talk of a new politics and declarations that “we are the ones we’ve been waiting for” (waiting for to do what, exactly?) would mean to families troubled by lagging wages, insecure jobs and fear of losing health coverage. The answer, from Ohio and Pennsylvania, seems pretty clear: not much. Mrs. Clinton has been able to stay in the race, against heavy odds, largely because her no-nonsense style, her obvious interest in the wonkish details of policy, resonate with many voters in a way that Mr. Obama’s eloquence does not.”

At the Washington Post, Howard Kurtz rambles all over the place, highlighting first the unfortunate timing of Jeremiah Wright’s attempt to set the record straight in a media blitz including Bill Moyers, the NAACP, and the National Press Club.

Kurtz goes on to cite Michael Novak’s astonishment in the National Review at the turn of events since Pennsylvania. Novak asks, “Did Pennsylvania Deflate Obama?”

"It always amazes me how swiftly the narrative can change. Seemingly in an instant, serious commentators reverse the direction of their analysis and change their tone of voice, while their excitement level shoots upwards. Monday, it was all: 'No matter what happens in Pennsylvania, Obama has the election all locked up.' Wednesday morning, it is 'What a great, gutsy victory it is for Hillary. Hillary is really a fighter. She won labor-union households, those over 40 years old, white men and white women, churchgoers, hunters--and most of these by high margins. She won Catholics by 70 percent. These are the groups a Democratic nominee must win against McCain in November.'

"Some are even now working out the arithmetic to show that it is possible for her to win the popular vote by the last primary, June 6. Possible, but not likely."

I felt a touch of euphoria over at CNNpolitics.com when I read “The Week That Clinton Came Back.”

The CNN piece notes the biggest question about Clinton’s campaign for weeks had been “when it would finally succumb to being so second-place.

“This week that changed. She won the Pennsylvania primary by 10 percentage points, a margin that convinced contributors to flood her Internet site with $10 million.

“The win and the windfall don't change the race. She is still behind in every way that matters. But the race has changed anyway.

“In the six-week build-up to the Pennsylvania primary, Obama's well-run campaign lost some of its luster.

“Americans learned that his former pastor gave angry anti-American speeches, that Obama was friends with a former terrorist, and that he seemed to think small-town voters "cling" to God and gun-ownership because they're bitter about the economy.

“Obama supporters blame Clinton for negative and nasty campaigning, but she didn't pick his church, his friends or his words for him.

“Clinton was always more appealing to ordinary, working-class Americans than Obama. While he based his campaign on the promise of 'hope' and 'change,' she offered a catalogue of policies and programs to address concrete concerns.”

The CNN piece concludes: “Clinton has argued consistently that she should win the Democratic nomination because she'd be more likely to defeat the Republicans and win the White House.

“If people nationwide think like the ones in Pennsylvania, she may be right.”

My head was still spinning when I checked in at the Huffington Post, Obama’s chief mouthpiece in the blogosphere. HuffPost’s political editor Tom Edsall is perturbed that “In a blink of an eye, the media has jumped ship from the Obama campaign and become a crucial Clinton ally, pressing just the message -- that Obama is a likely loser in the general election -- that Hillary and her allies have been promoting for the past six weeks.”

Edsall laments:

“The new tenor of media coverage is visible almost everywhere, from Politico, Time and The New Republic to The Washington Post and The New York Times.”

What Edsall apparently missed, however, is a piece by Rachel Sklar in today’s Huffpost, where only an occasional pro-Clinton piece is allowed. Sklar responds to an over-the-top comment by Keith Olbermann on MSNBC (watch video):

"Olbermann was discussing the election with Newsweek's Howard Fineman, a frequent guest. The topic was, how can a winner finally be determined in this never-ending Democratic race for the nomination? Of course, the assumption was that it was Clinton that should be shown the door (despite clearly still earning her spot in the race thanks to, um, voters). Fineman said that, all the delegate math aside, ultimately it was going to take 'some adults somewhere in the Democratic party to step in and stop this thing, like a referee in a fight that could go on for thirty rounds. Those are the super, super, super delegates who are going to have to decide this.'

"Said Olbermann: 'Right. Somebody who can take her into a room and only he comes out."'

Sklar asks: “What does that mean? Really, it can only mean one thing: Beating the crap out of Hillary Clinton, to the point where she is physically incapable of getting up and walking out. At minimum. We know this. We know this because we have all seen movies where people are invited into private places to have "discussions" and the unruly party is, um, dealt with accordingly. It's an unmistakably violent image.”

Incredible.

One of the cruelest realities I’ve faced in the Democratic primary is that many who describe themselves as liberal are liberal in every way except when it comes to equal rights for women; Olbermann is obviously such a tragically flawed liberal.

Nevertheless, I conclude my post today with a sigh of relief that overall the media in America finally appears to be coming to its senses.

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Hillary Clinton Projected Winner of Pennsylvania


With seven percent reporting, CNN has projected Hillary Clinton the winner of Pennsylvania with 52% to Obama's 48%.

Bellwether Poll Gives Clinton Double-Digit Lead in Pennsylvania

Photo credits: Courtesy of HillaryClinton.com

Foon Rhee, deputy national political editor, reports in Political Intelligence (Boston Globe) this morning that Hillary Clinton could snag the double-digit win she wants in Pennsylvania today, according to an election-eve poll of Democrats in a bellwether county.

Commenting further, Rhee said,

“She led Barack Obama 52 percent to 40 percent in polling conducted Sunday and Monday in Allegheny County around Pittsburgh in a Suffolk University survey released today, a slightly larger margin than the statewide Suffolk poll done over the weekend.

“Suffolk pollsters say they used similar bellwether counties to correctly predict results in prior Democratic primaries in New Hampshire, California, Massachusetts, Tennessee, and Ohio. They picked Allegheny County because its election results mirrored the statewide results in the 1988 and 2000 Democratic and Republican primaries.

Rhee cited a statement by David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center:

“A cautionary word or two: Past bellwether performance is a guide but not a 100 percent guarantee of future performance. New bellwethers often are created every election cycle as people migrate and as development and geography-driven issues emerge. In addition, local endorsements from popular people can skew margins.”

In comparison, Rhee said:

“Other recent polls have given Clinton a single-digit lead heading into today's make-or-break nomination contest, the first in six weeks.”

Sunday, April 20, 2008

Obama Camp Goes Negative in Pennsylvania

After noting the Obama camp’s accusation that Clinton is running a negative campaign, a press release today from Howard Wolfson, Clinton’s Communications Manager reports: “In fact, in just the last 48-hours, Sen. Obama has flooded airwaves, radio, phone lines and mailboxes with negative and false attacks against Hillary. This unprecedented barrage coincides with a weak debate performance and Sen. Obama's slide in the daily Gallup poll.”

The press release continues:

1. In the most outrageous attack of the campaign, Obama surrogates held a conference call attacking Hillary's character, claiming she did not have the "moral authority" to lay a wreath on the Tomb on the Unknown Soldier. [Link]

2. Launched a television ad featuring false, negative attacks on Hillary's health care plan. [Link]

3. Distributed negative mail about Hillary's trade positions, complete with citations even Sen. Obama has acknowledged have been debunked. [Link]

4. Flooded voters with robocalls saying Hillary will "say anything" to win.

Schumer Predicts Significant Win for Clinton in Pennsylvania Primary

Photo credits: Getty

Hillary Clinton has been campaigning non-stop this weekend, and her supporters have reason for optimism as the Pennsylvania primary rapidly approaches. The latest Pennsylvania poll by the American Research Group taken April 17-19 has Clinton leading Obama by 13 points at 54% to 41%.

On that note, Bloomberg reports today that New York Senator Charles Schumer, predicted Clinton will have a ``significant'' win in Tuesday's Pennsylvania primary.

``My guess is she will win Pennsylvania by a significant margin,'' Schumer, a Clinton supporter, said today on ``Fox News Sunday.'' He declined to predict the margin of victory.
Schumer also noted that after Pennsylvania, a Clinton win in Indiana would give her ``momentum.''

Saturday, April 12, 2008

Clinton Responds to Obama’s “Demeaning” Take on the Working Class

Photo credits: Getty

A key component of Barack Obama’s base is the extreme left, composed of elite, upscale liberals who not so long ago flocked to Ralph Nader. It’s therefore understandable that Obama is a little awkward in his efforts to appeal to working class voters.

The always impeccably dressed Obama went bowling in Pennsylvania in a suit and tie and scored a stunning 37. He also visited a chocolate factory where he showed concern for his waistline by refusing to sample the factory’s main product and flirted with the female workers instead of treating them with respect.

Most recently, Obama demonstrated how out of touch he is with working-class America in a talk he gave at a fundraiser in San Francisco. Referring to voters in Pennsylvania and Indiana, Obama said:

“So it’s not surprising then that they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren’t like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations.”

Sen. Hillary Clinton has been quick to respond:

At Drexel University in Philadelphia, Clinton said: "Well, that's not my experience. As I travel around Pennsylvania, I meet people who are resilient, who are optimistic, who are positive. . . . They're working hard every day for a better future for themselves and their children. Pennsylvanians don't need a president who looks down on them. They need a president who stands up for them, who fights for them."

Later on while campaigning in Indianapolis, she remarked: "Senator Obama's remarks were elitist and out of touch. They are not reflective of the values and beliefs of Americans." Watch video of Clinton's speech.

As noted in an article in the Associated Press, “The flap threatened to highlight an Obama Achilles heel — the image that the Harvard-trained lawyer is arrogant and carries himself with an air of superiority.”

The AP article quoted additional comments by Clinton:

"I was raised with Midwestern values and an unshakable faith in America and its policies," she said. "Now, Americans who believe in the Second Amendment believe it's a matter of constitutional right. Americans who believe in God believe it's a matter of personal faith.

"I grew up in a church-going family, a family that believed in the importance of living out and expressing our faith. The people of faith I know don't 'cling' to religion because they're bitter. People embrace faith not because they are materially poor, but because they are spiritually rich.

"Our faith is the faith of our parents and our grandparents. It is a fundamental expression of who we are and what we believe."

For more on the firestorm created by Obama’s take on the working class, visit these articles in the Washington Post, the New York Times, and the Associated Press.

Thursday, April 10, 2008

New TIME poll: Clinton Leads Obama in PA by 8 Points

Latest polls in Pennsylvania continue to trend toward Clinton. A new TIME poll in the Keystone state shows that, including Democratic-leaning voters, Clinton leads Obama 49% to 41% with a spread of 8 points (April 2-6, 676 Dem LV).

Clinton now holds a 7.8-point lead in the RCP Average for Pennsylvania, up about 2 points since the latest polls were released.

Tuesday, April 8, 2008

SurveyUSA: Clinton Leads Obama in Pennsylvania by 18

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 55 minutes ago

In a Democratic Primary in Pennsylvania today, 04/08/08, two weeks to the vote, Hillary Clinton defeats Barack Obama 56% to 38%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCAU-TV Philadelphia, KDKA-TV Pittsburgh, WHP-TV Harrisburg, and WNEP-TV Wilkes-Barre. The results are almost identical to a SurveyUSA poll released one month ago. Then, Clinton led by 19. Today, 18. In between, however, in a SurveyUSA tracking poll released last week, Obama had closed to within 12 points. What happened in the past 7 days?
Read Details

Hillary Fights Back in Pennsylvania With New Ads

Barack Obama has been outspending Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania by about 5-1 for weeks now, but she fought back today by releasing five new ads. Go here to watch two of the new ads: one features Gov. Ed Rendell speaking out for Hillary, and the other is Hillary’s tribute to the city of Scranton where her father was born.

Wednesday, April 2, 2008

Clinton’s Campaign Gets Major Boost from Quinnipac University Poll

Jon Cohen’s post at the Trail (Washington Post) details the good news today for the Clinton campaign in the latest Qunnipac University Poll.

Cohen reports:

“Hillary Clinton holds a nine-point lead in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll. But it is the survey's general election numbers from three key swing states that may do more to bolster the New York senator's campaign.

“In hypothetical match-ups with presumptive GOP nominee John McCain, Clinton outperformed Barack Obama in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. In each of these states, Clinton is propelled by solid support among female voters, and Democrats -- particularly white Democrats -- in all three are less likely to defect to McCain with Clinton atop the Democratic ticket.

“Overall, Clinton is up nine points over McCain in Ohio, while Obama runs about evenly with the Arizona senator. Clinton also has a more sizable edge in Pennsylvania and is competitive in Florida, a state where McCain is up nine points on Obama in the new poll.”

Read More

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

Pennsylvania Women Line Up for Blocks to Hear Hillary

From left to right are State Senator Connie Williams, Phila. councilwoman Marian Tasco, Senator Hillary Clinton and Rep. Allyson Schwartz at the "Pennsylvania Women for Hillary" event.

Photo Credits: ERIC MENCHER/Philadelphia Inquirer

The Philadelphia Inquirer’s Jeff Gammage vividly describes Hillary Clinton at her “Pennsylvania Women for Hillary” event in Blue Bell, Penn. yesterday:

“Hillary Clinton evoked themes of sisterhood and motherhood while addressing women voters in Blue Bell today - and reminded them she'd be a strong commander-in-chief and a fighter for universal health care.

‘“We have seen changes that are unimaginable for our mothers and grandmothers,’ Clinton said at a crowded gymnasium at Montgomery County Community College. Yet, she noted, even when she was growing up, ‘there were colleges I couldn't go to, scholarships I couldn't apply for.’

‘“Her talk resonated with the crowd, one of whom told the candidate during the question-and-answer period, ‘I'd like to say 'Madame President' just once.’

“Nearly a thousand people filled the room, and more were directed to an overflow space, the line to get inside stretching for blocks along campus sidewalks. The crowd at the "Pennsylvania Women for Hillary" event looked like Clinton's base - female, white, a little older. Not that the over-35 crowd were the only ones present. Mothers came carrying babies or trailing teen daughters, and two little boys held up a sign that said, "Our Mama's for the Mama!’

“Clinton emerged onto a platform at the center of the gym, her red blazer punctuating a sea of white and blue signs that said, "Hillary for President." The first two dozen people into the building claimed much-sought-after space, pressing against the barrier that surrounded the platform like fans around the stage at a rock concert. Some carried copies of Clinton's book, and one had a small stuffed Hillary-bear.

“Sister, wife, daughter, mother - she's all of these, Clinton said, and she takes the experience of those roles ‘with me on the campaign trail and I hope into the White House, with your help.’”

Read More:

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Does Clinton Have the Edge in the Democratic Race?

Photo credits: Getty

Despite Obama’s recent wins in Wyoming and Mississippi, Rick Klein at ABC News suggests that with six weeks to go in the run-up to Pennsylvania’s primary, Hillary Clinton might have the edge.

Klein reports:

“The Clinton campaign plans to use the coming six-week gap in primary voting to aggressively push its case that Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., lacks the necessary experience to be president as the superdelegates loom by far as the most important voters in the race.

After Obama's Tuesday win in Mississippi, the strategy of defining the Illinois senator while the delegate count stays essentially frozen reflects a belief by Sen. Hillary Clinton's campaign advisers after withstanding perhaps the roughest month of Clinton's presidential campaign that the New York senator now has a powerful ally on her side: time.”

Klein reminds us that “Clinton's campaign has proved more adept at seizing control of the race when no one is voting.

Just in the past few weeks, Clinton has kept pressure on Obama with a stinging TV ad suggesting he's unprepared to serve as commander in chief; left him on the defensive over NAFTA and controversial comments made by a high-level foreign-policy adviser; and made headlines by suggesting publicly that Obama could be considering as her running mate.”

Adding up Clinton’s advantages, Klein continues:

“The lull in the voting action is likely to include several debates in Pennsylvania, a format in which Clinton has typically excelled.
“It will also allow the Clinton campaign to work to find a way for Florida and Michigan to have their votes count; both states favor Clinton demographically, and a solution that allows those state delegations to be seated at the convention is likely to cut into Obama's delegate lead.

“And the next primary on the calendar -- Pennsylvania, April 22 -- is in a large, diverse state that's similar to others that have leaned toward Clinton.

“Clinton has maintained a solid lead in Pennsylvania polls, and Obama's advisers acknowledge that their candidate is the underdog in the Keystone State.

“A win there would add to Clinton's delegate count, pull her close in the overall popular vote and strengthen her campaign's argument that she's best suited to carry the important states on the presidential map.

“‘It could be, to some extent, a split decision,’ said Steve Grossman, a former Democratic National Committee chairman who is backing Clinton. "There should be no rush to judgment now, since we have a lot more evidence to gather."’

Read more:

Sunday, March 9, 2008

Obama and Clinton: The Countdown for Delegates and Superdelegates

Obama and Clinton split the delegates from Obama’s win in yesterday’s Wyoming caucus 7-5, netting Obama just two delegates. The two Democratic candidates will face off again in Tuesday’s primary in Mississippi, which Obama is also expected to win. Both candidates are looking ahead to delegate-rich Pennsylvania on April 22, where polls show Clinton with a solid, double-digit lead.

Obama now has a total of 1,578 pledged delegates compared to 1,468 delegates for Clinton, according to the Associated Press. Of the 719 known superdelegates, Clinton has the support of 242, and Obama has the backing of 210. A group of 77 “add-ons” will be named later by state party leaders.

Dan Balz reports in today’s Washington Post: “Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's trio of victories over Sen. Barack Obama last week appears to have convinced a sizable number of uncommitted Democratic superdelegates to wait until the end of the primaries and caucuses before picking a candidate, according to a survey by The Washington Post.”

Balz desribes the superdelegates as “a cross-section of the party, young and old, women and men, of all races and creeds, famous and obscure. They approach the role with more caution than gusto -- and they are now among the most closely monitored Americans on the planet, the focus of elaborate courting and tracking inside the Clinton and Obama campaigns.

“By one analysis provided to The Post, half of the uncommitted delegates are elected officials, almost a third come from states that have not yet held primaries or caucuses, a third are women, and about a fifth are black or Hispanic. Others say there is no real pattern to who has taken sides and who remains on the fence.”
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